Sorry, missed this!
Yes, Jason is a pronated player. But you can’t tell anything from these videos since it’s normal speed video and there is lots of room tone. There could be just about anything happening, even displacement, where the notes are not being picked the way you think they are, and you would never know it. And you wouldn’t hear it on studio recordings either.
I have posted clips where I play complicated patterns like descending fours which sound, sonically, exactly as they should, even though when you slow it down, you can see the picking does not line up with the “correct” (intentional quotes) strings. That’s the magic of displacement for you:
One thing that would be tough for any pronated player to do with garage spikes would be 2nps lines starting on a downstroke. That’s actually the best test. Bill can do it because he avoids garage spikes for the reasons we discussed. If you can find footage of Jason doing fast downstroke pentatonics, it might tell you something. However, he could just as easily change his arm position and become a supinated player for those types of lines. Or he might simply avoid those phrases, I’m not that familiar with his playing.
Short of that, or without actual slow motion Magnet footage of Jason’s playing, you will never really know what’s going on in his technique, so I wouldn’t spend any significant time worrying about it.