SeriouslyâŚ
The next ten years are guna be crazy, I honestly believe that.
Yes, the large language models like ChatGPT 4 and Claude 3 give a taste for what will happen. I think that massive unemployment will result, for sure, as many jobs (including most programming) will be automated. In fact, I donât even know what college students should major in these days for a âsafeâ career. Not only that, lots of firms are striving to make human-like robots (that weigh something like 160 pounds), and once theyâre cheap enough, professions like plumbing, cooking, etc. wonât be safe, either. Indeed, even Tesla is attempting to make such robots. In fact, imagine if self-driving cars with no steering wheel are never really a thing, and a robot gets inside and drives, carries luggage, etc.; itâs just a question of cost. Indeed, oneâs âdomestic robotâ might do the driving, shopping, cooking, etc.
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Iâm iffy on the robot aspect, as itâs way more complicated than lets say⌠unfortunately, art n music. Art/music is the thing thats being automated because there are no physical barriers. Itâs all mental. coding will be the same. Our imagination can be replicated with the power of computers, the physical aspect will lag behind, just like ourselves, we can imagine amazing things, putting them into physical form is the struggle.
Hopeforfuckingly people that acually do physical work n make the world go round will benefit. âŚ
Hopefully
We are definitely at a weird tipping point. Not sure how it will play out. Maybe there will be some sort of neo-Luddite movement.
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Yes, because the luddites were interested in saving their jobs from the onslaught of steam powered looms.
Doh. I sure know how to pick the careers.
âIâll be a musician, I have aptitude for that and in school they told us to try to get a job at something weâre good atâ: fail
âProgramming seems like a great field, Iâll learn how to do thatâ: initial success, then FAIL thanks to AI
Sure, but the number of human programmers will be dramatically reduced, as most will be replaced by an AI program writing the program, and theyâll be unable to find a job.
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Yeah thatâs what scares me. What then??? I guess I could do this, but even thatâs next in line for robots/automation
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Well for all the Dune fans⌠Simple solution. Butlerian Jihad.
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Once it becomes self aware, weâd better hit up John Conner
Right, it will happen slowly at first. But when it becomes âgood enough for a particular problem,â all of those programmers will lose their jobs. Eventually, few will be left.
âŚand the ones paying attention will have figured out whatâs next long before their jobs simply disappeared. Iâve seen people continue to work on themselves and Iâve seen people struggle by staying exactly where they are while technology passes them by.
A family member stopped learning and chose not to see realityâŚand âsuddenlyâ (not really) the need for people knowledgeable about AS400s dried up.
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Anything that involves physical work because we are a long way of from the affordability of robots that can do work that can do skilled trades that require any degree of customization or finesse without a human babysitting it. At the end of the day unless some insane level paradigm shift happens with silicon (or post silicon) based chip technology and machine learning we are a far way off from a robot that can seamlessly diagnose and repair issues.
Once/if the robots start âthinkingâ the ethical dilemmas will probably legislate them into oblivion.
One I can think of that will probably come sooner is the self driving car conundrum of the computer calculating that you dying in a crash is the âleast devastatingâ way for things to unfold. The lawsuits will probably bankrupt the AI companies assuming we arenât living in a Neuromancer style hellscape by then.
Stuff like graphic design, basic coding, accounting, (basically any glorified excel spreadsheet data entry jobs) that stuff is going to go the way of the dodo fast.
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Graphic design and its root (art) will never go away. Machines wonât have original ideas unless someone inputs them. Thatâs akin to saying we wonât need to write our own music in the future.
We are a LONG way from sentience and an AI model being capable of original thought. Iâm skeptical that it is even possible. Most humans have trouble with original ideas.
We donât even understand how we think. The idea that humans believing we can teach a computer to do think - while also giving it consciousness, self-determination and the ability to act without input is an exceedingly high form of hubris.
The Terminator and John Connor are fictitious. Based even less in reality than lightspeed, warp drive and transporters. The Matrix doesnât have you.
The term AI was chosen to describe a new form of computing. Almost certainly because of its attachment to science fiction. IMHO - itâs one of the greatest marketing terms in history.
I think that most graphic design jobs will be gone, as people will just be typing in text to get images. For example, âdraw me a heavy metal shredder playing a Flying V guitar so fast that it is burning.â This image isnât as good as what a competent artist could do, but itâs free. People like free⌠therein lies the problem.
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Luddites were against technological developments because they were effective and put people out of work, people are against the current âAIâ because itâs shite. Please go and have a constructive conversation with the chatbot your bank has installed in place of a customer service operative and then get back to me.
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Weâll agree to disagree.
There is so very much more to graphic design than what that image represents. To the point you and I really arenât taking about the same thing.
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Iâve been using the paid version of ChatGPT4 to help me scrape some websites. I have to say that I am very impressed by how good it is. I have zero programming knowledge and itâs been extremely helpful. It does take a few tries to get it, but it certainly works for what is probably something basic.
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